Building common understanding of scenario based strategies to inform climate change adaptation
The Scenarios for Climate Adaptation project aimed to strengthen knowledge about the most effective ways to develop and use scenario based strategies to improve climate change adaptation decision making, drawing on the experience of Victorian climate adaptation policy makers and practitioners.
Scenario based strategies can provide policy makers and practitioners with valuable tools to consider and analyse a diverse range of future trends, contexts, risks and opportunities. Informed by quantitative and/or qualitative evidence, scenarios also have the capacity to illuminate potentially critical ‘unknowns’, to encourage organisations to think ‘outside the square’ and to challenge taken for granted assumptions about the future.
The project was undertaken by an interdisciplinary and multi-institutional team led by Professor John Wiseman at the University of Melbourne.
Scenarios for climate adaptation – Policy brief - July 2011
Scenarios for climate adaptation – Full report - June 2011
- Scenarios for Climate Adaptation – Report: Executive summary
- Scenarios for Climate Adaptation – Report: Appendix A - CASE STUDIES
- Scenarios for Climate Adaptation – Report: Appendix B – LINKS & RESOURCES
Scenarios for climate adaptation - Guidebook for practitioners
Additional resources
From probability to possibility: Using scenarios to get our heads around climate change
John Wiseman and Lauren Rickards, The Conversation, June 10, 2011
Critical perspectives working papers - November 2010
- Rickards, L. (2010) Governing the future under climate change: contested visions of climate change adaptation
- Jones, R. (2010) The use of scenarios in adaptation planning: managing risks in simple to complex settings
- Ison, R., Grant, A. and Bawden, R. (2010) Scenario praxis for systemic and adaptive governance: a critical review
Critical perspectives seminar presentations - November 2010
- Dr Penny Whetton, CSIRO The evolving use of climate change scenarios at CSIRO
- Dr Lauren Rickards, University of Melbourne
What is adaptation? Implications of adaptation definitions for scenario strategies - Prof Roger Jones, Centre for Strategic Economic Studies, Victoria University
The use of scenarios in adaptation planning: Managing complex risks - Prof Ray Ison, Monash Sustainability Institute, Monash University
Scenario praxis for systemic and adaptive governance: A critical review -
Presentations and videos from the Scenarios for Climate Adaptation project Critical Perspectives seminar available to view and download. Click here to go to the seminar page.
Videos
Stakeholder workshop presentations - November 2011
- Re-calibrating the Climate Challenge: Learning from history, lessons for the future – Ian Dunlop, Australia21
- Scenarios for Climate Adaptation: An international perspective – Benjamin L. Preston, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Initial project overview - July 2010
Scenarios for Climate Adaptation - Project Overview
Research team
Scenarios for Climate Adaptation was funded by the Victorian Government through VCCCAR. It was undertaken by an interdisciplinary and multi-institutional team led by Professor John Wiseman at the University of Melbourne.
Project Leader: Prof. John Wiseman, University of Melbourne
Project Coordinator: Taegen Edwards, University of Melbourne
Che Biggs, University of Melbourne
Dr Lauren Rickards, University of Melbourne
Technical Reference Group
Prof. Darryn McEvoy and Harmut Fünfgeld , Climate Change Adaptation Program, Global Cities Research Institute, RMIT University
Dr Roger Jones, Centre for Strategic Economic Studies, Victoria University
Prof. Ray Ison and Andrea Grant, Monash Sustainability Institute, Monash University
Dr Penny Whetton, Climate Variability and Change, CSIRO
Barry Warwick, Future Environments and Climate Change, Victorian EPA
